Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs WSHZack Littell
Sample1907.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.2
F 13.8
V 15.4
Model 19.3% Market 20.3% Gap -1.7pp
DraftKings 375 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.9
F 60.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 70.4% Market 71.4% Gap +9.5pp
BetMGM -250 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.0%
96 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity92.0
92
Hard-hit%45.1%
76
xBA0.354
80
xSLG0.673
90
xwOBA0.360
89 +30 vs proj
BB%8.3%
47
Bat speed74.1
95
K%21.8%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.5 · C
24
Catcher Throwing1.6 · C
84
Framing Runs-4.2 · C
7
Pop Time1.9 · C
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · C
41
Sprint Speed28.5 · C
82
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9%
85
Correct Decisions67.1%
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.315 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.305 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.009
Opposing pitcherZack Littell
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)