Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter
IN · 1 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIL vs MIAMax Meyer
Sample1908.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 10.3
Model 15.2% Market 10.0% Gap +4.8pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.6
F 69.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.6% Market 82.0% Gap +12.3pp
FanDuel 130 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 30.0
F 29.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 30.0% Market -- Gap +3.0pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
54 +24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%44.9%
76 +29 vs proj
xBA0.361
84
xSLG0.628
83
xwOBA0.348
84 +18 vs proj
BB%12.6%
88 +32 vs proj
Bat speed67.6
25
K%24.5%
39 -20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
52
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
55
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
94
Range Runs5.2 · 2B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 2B
67
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
34
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
34
Correct Decisions68.4%
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.033
Opposing pitcherMax Meyer
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)