Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Royce Lewis

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 5 Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CHCColin Rea
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 0 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 13.1
F 13.8
V 14.9
Model 17.8% Market 15.0% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 540 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.0
F 61.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.1% Market 70.2% Gap +9.2pp
BetMGM -235 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.284 to 0.357
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherColin Rea
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)