Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Royce Lewis

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs TEXMacKenzie Gore
Sample1058.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 16.8% Market 15.9% Gap +0.3pp
FanDuel 505 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 71.9
F 71.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 71.9% Market 69.5% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel -260 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
85 +15 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
52
Hard-hit%39.4%
49
xBA0.318
44
xSLG0.544
60
xwOBA0.302
42
BB%8.8%
50 +17 vs proj
Bat speed71.7
76
K%26.3%
29 -24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
66
Arm Strength83.2 · 3B
27
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
42
Range Runs-2.3 · 3B
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · 3B
52
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.255
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.284 to 0.357
RegressionNegative · -0.038
Opposing pitcherMacKenzie Gore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)