Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Austin Martin

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd
Sample619.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 38.8
F 56.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 55.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 38.8% Market 64.9% Gap +8.1pp
FanDuel 140 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.1
F 15.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.1% Market -- Gap +11.7pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.4%
7
Exit velocity86.4
29
Hard-hit%27.5%
11 -21 vs proj
xBA0.314
40
xSLG0.419
18
xwOBA0.317
61
BB%13.7%
93 +45 vs proj
Bat speed65.8
10
K%17.6%
76
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · RF
76
Arm Strength92.1 · RF
44
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs1.2 · RF
62
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · RF
20
SB Success Rate72.7% · RF
29
Sprint Speed27.7 · RF
58
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 80.0%
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3%
59
Correct Decisions74.2%
97
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.041
Opposing pitcherMatthew Boyd
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)