Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Randy Arozarena

SEA · Hitter · bats R · age 31

IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly

MatchupSEA vs WSHCade Cavalli

Sample3173.0career MLB AB

PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 20.4

F 17.9

V 17.9

Model 19.1% Market 13.8% Gap +4.7pp

FanDuel 595 tracking Open board

Total Bases --

Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%5.2%

52 -25 vs proj

Exit velocity91.3

Hard-hit%43.3%

65 -21 vs proj

xBA0.363

xSLG0.574

xwOBA0.353

BB%9.6%

Bat speed68.7

K%22.2%

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs-1.0 · LF

Arm Strength90.7 · LF

Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF

Range Runs-1.1 · LF

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs3.7 · LF

SB Success Rate100.0% · LF

Sprint Speed27.1 · LF

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1%

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4%

Correct Decisions64.6%

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.316

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.339

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.277 to 0.369

RegressionNegative · -0.052

Opposing pitcherCade Cavalli

EnvironmentHitter-Friendly

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-06-16

Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable

Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)