Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Adolis García

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 33
IL60 · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs NYMSean Manaea
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.5
F 14.2
V 20.3
Model 21.2% Market 17.8% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 440 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.0
F 66.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 65.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 75.9% Market 77.0% Gap +11.0pp
BetMGM -335 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
61 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%48.8%
87
xBA0.346
75
xSLG0.569
69
xwOBA0.294
36 -29 vs proj
BB%8.6%
51 +20 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
52
K%31.3%
11 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · RF
86
Arm Strength96.8 · RF
76
Outs Above Avg4.0 · RF
95
Range Runs3.3 · RF
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · RF
58
Sprint Speed26.5 · RF
27
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5%
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8%
79
Correct Decisions67.7%
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.374
RegressionNegative · -0.017
Opposing pitcherSean Manaea
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)