Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Adolis García

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 33
IL60 · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MIARyan Gusto
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.9
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 19.6% Market 17.0% Gap +1.9pp
FanDuel 465 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 74.4
F 74.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 74.4% Market 72.0% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel -295 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
58 -18 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
92
Hard-hit%48.8%
87
xBA0.346
74
xSLG0.569
67
xwOBA0.294
35 -26 vs proj
BB%8.6%
48 +18 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
55
K%31.3%
9 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · RF
88
Arm Strength96.8 · RF
82
Outs Above Avg4.0 · RF
95
Range Runs3.4 · RF
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · RF
62
Sprint Speed26.5 · RF
28
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5%
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8%
79
Correct Decisions67.7%
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.374
RegressionNegative · -0.017
Opposing pitcherRyan Gusto
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)