Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Bo Bichette

NYM · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo
Sample3459.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.2
F 14.9
V 11.9
Model 20.6% Market 12.2% Gap +8.1pp
DraftKings 695 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 67.2
F 69.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 67.2% Market 84.7% Gap +13.0pp
FanDuel -105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 30.1
F 27.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 30.1% Market -- Gap +6.2pp
FanDuel 175 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
49
Exit velocity90.4
80
Hard-hit%45.1%
76
xBA0.351
79
xSLG0.527
55
xwOBA0.328
70
BB%6.7%
27
Bat speed68.3
30
K%17.2%
78
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
60
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
68
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
77
Range Runs-0.2 · 3B
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.9 · 3B
7
Sprint Speed26.0 · 3B
18
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.5%
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
42
Correct Decisions62.6%
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.324
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.384
RegressionNegative · -0.001
Opposing pitcherJesús Luzardo
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)