Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Jo Adell

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 27

IN · 4 Positive regression Neutral

MatchupLAA vs DETTarik Skubal

Sample1887.0career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 14.6

F 14.2

V 13.4

Model 16.6% Market 20.8% Gap -4.3pp

BetMGM 380 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 57.8

F 57.2 EXPERIMENTAL

V 56.6 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 64.9% Market 66.1% Gap +8.3pp

BetMGM -195 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.0%

65 -22 vs proj

Exit velocity89.9

Hard-hit%43.8%

xBA0.342

xSLG0.572

xwOBA0.324

BB%2.9%

4 -32 vs proj

Bat speed75.3

K%23.2%

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs-3.2 · RF

Arm Strength91.8 · RF

Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF

Range Runs-3.1 · RF

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs0.2 · RF

Sprint Speed28.0 · RF

SB Success Rate100.0% · RF

Small sample

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5%

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7%

Correct Decisions65.7%

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.230

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.376

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.300 to 0.374

RegressionPositive · 0.003

Opposing pitcherTarik Skubal

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)