Mithrandir Metrics
LAA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Jo Adell

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 4 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupLAA vs AZRyne Nelson
Sample1791.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 16.6% Market 19.6% Gap -3.0pp
BetMGM 410 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.1
F 52.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 51.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 53.1% Market 52.2% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
63 -23 vs proj
Exit velocity91.1
85
Hard-hit%46.3%
80
xBA0.361
82
xSLG0.610
78
xwOBA0.334
71
BB%2.5%
2 -34 vs proj
Bat speed75.5
98
K%25.1%
34
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.2 · RF
4
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
45
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
20
Range Runs-0.7 · RF
40
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · RF
41
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
68
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.8%
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6%
67
Correct Decisions66.1%
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.310 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.230
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.374
RegressionPositive · 0.009
Opposing pitcherRyne Nelson
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)