Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Leody Taveras

BAL · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 9 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupBAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Sample2023.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 59.5
F 57.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 67.1% Market 68.2% Gap +8.8pp
BetMGM -215 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
27 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity83.7
9
Hard-hit%30.9%
17 -31 vs proj
xBA0.312
38
xSLG0.471
35
xwOBA0.289
30
BB%9.5%
62 +32 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
36
K%25.7%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.0 · CF
82
Arm Strength98.2 · CF
88
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs-3.7 · CF
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.3 · CF
90
Bolts25.0 · CF
85
SB Success Rate75.0% · CF
34
Sprint Speed29.0 · CF
90
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.2%
59
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7%
72
Correct Decisions67.8%
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.400
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.248 to 0.346
RegressionNegative · -0.043
Opposing pitcherSpencer Arrighetti
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)