Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Brandon Lowe

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs MIASandy Alcantara
Sample2898.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.0
F 15.7
V 15.7
Model 18.1% Market 20.4% Gap -2.4pp
BetMGM 390 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.3
F 69.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 59.3% Market 69.5% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.2
F 17.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 20.2% Market -- Gap +10.1pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
83
Exit velocity90.2
74
Hard-hit%45.3%
73
xBA0.354
77
xSLG0.677
89
xwOBA0.358
84
BB%10.9%
73 +29 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
65
K%24.9%
34
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.1 · 2B
18
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 2B
94
Range Runs3.1 · 2B
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · 2B
40
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
39
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5%
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7%
35
Correct Decisions64.6%
35
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.309 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.415
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.375
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherSandy Alcantara
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-12
Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)