Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Jake Mangum

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 30
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs ATHJ.t. Ginn
Sample544.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 10.5
F 10.3
V 10.3
Model 8.5% Market 7.7% Gap +0.5pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 24.7
F 22.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 25.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.7% Market 26.3% Gap +2.4pp
DraftKings 290 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.6%
3
Exit velocity80.7
2
Hard-hit%25.6%
6 -21 vs proj
xBA0.320
48
xSLG0.397
13
xwOBA0.283
25
BB%6.0%
19
Bat speed63.5
3
K%19.8%
64 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
35
Arm Strength92.0 · LF
48
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
9
Range Runs-0.6 · LF
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · LF
68
Bolts10.0 · LF
74
SB Success Rate80.0% · LF
46
Sprint Speed29.1 · LF
93
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions57.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.324
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.253 to 0.326
RegressionNegative · -0.085
Opposing pitcherJ.t. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)