Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Cal Raleigh

SEA · Hitter · bats L · age 30

IN · 3 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly

MatchupSEA vs WSHZack Littell

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 22.9

F 14.2

V 14.2

Model 23.3% Market 26.3% Gap -3.0pp

BetMGM 280 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 64.9

F 64.3 EXPERIMENTAL

V 63.7 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 64.9% Market 63.0% Gap +2.2pp

FanDuel -190 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%7.6%

Exit velocity87.8

Hard-hit%33.0%

24 -61 vs proj

xBA0.279

xSLG0.599

xwOBA0.289

30 -51 vs proj

BB%9.1%

56 -26 vs proj

Bat speed72.3

K%32.0%

6 -20 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Blocking Runs1.9 · C

Catcher Throwing0.6 · C

Framing Runs0.3 · C

Pop Time2.0 · C

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed25.8 · C

SB Success Rate66.7% · C

Small sample

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.8%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.8%

Small sample

Correct Decisions65.4%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.292

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.297 to 0.394

RegressionPositive · 0.010

Opposing pitcherZack Littell

EnvironmentHitter-Friendly

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-06-15

Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)