Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Trevor Larnach

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs TEXMacKenzie Gore
Sample1637.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 48.7
F 51.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 49.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 48.7% Market 47.8% Gap +0.9pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
45 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity86.2
26
Hard-hit%29.8%
14 -53 vs proj
xBA0.314
40
xSLG0.460
32
xwOBA0.317
59
BB%12.8%
87 +29 vs proj
Bat speed69.2
45
K%20.2%
61
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · LF
96
Arm Strength91.4 · LF
39
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
4
Range Runs-2.6 · LF
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
59
Sprint Speed26.8 · LF
36
SB Success Rate0.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.3%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions62.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.360
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.365
RegressionNegative · -0.053
Opposing pitcherMacKenzie Gore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)