Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Shohei Ohtani

LAD · Hitter
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs TBNick Martinez
Sample3978.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 34 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.0% Market 29.3% Gap +7.1pp
DraftKings 230 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 85.9
F 84.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 84.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 85.9% Market 82.7% Gap +3.2pp
FanDuel -630 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.5%
96
Exit velocity93.8
97
Hard-hit%54.0%
96
xBA0.417
99
xSLG0.791
98
xwOBA0.427
100
BB%15.9%
97
Bat speed72.9
88
K%22.5%
48
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.4%
54 -17 vs proj
Barrel allowed3.4%
94 +37 vs proj
Fastball velo97.5
93
Hard-hit allowed35.6%
72
K%29.7%
91
Whiff%30.0%
90
xwOBA allowed0.256
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · DH
81
SB Success Rate75.0% · DH
32
Sprint Speed27.5 · DH
55
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.6%
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3%
82
Correct Decisions67.9%
66
Fastball Stuff+107
83
Mithrandir Stuff+106
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Slider Stuff+110
96
Curveball Stuff+99
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.259 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.319
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.371 · thin sample
thin sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherNick Martinez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)