Mithrandir Metrics
LAA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Yoán Moncada

LAA · Hitter · bats L · age 31
IL60 · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAA vs AZRyne Nelson
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 16.5% Market 12.8% Gap +3.2pp
FanDuel 655 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
37
Exit velocity91.2
85
Hard-hit%45.7%
76 +33 vs proj
xBA0.288
20
xSLG0.487
43
xwOBA0.270
15 -24 vs proj
BB%14.3%
94 +57 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
59
K%35.4%
3
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 3B
3
Range Runs-4.2 · 3B
7
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · 3B
26
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.8%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.250 to 0.368
RegressionNegative · -0.068
Opposing pitcherRyne Nelson
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)