Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Ryan O'Hearn

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs ATHJ.t. Ginn
Sample2430.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.5% Market 13.1% Gap +7.0pp
DraftKings 640 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 76.7
F 78.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 77.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 76.7% Market 74.1% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -340 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
53
Exit velocity90.1
72
Hard-hit%44.3%
70
xBA0.342
69
xSLG0.547
61
xwOBA0.326
66
BB%9.0%
52
Bat speed68.8
40
K%22.0%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.6 · RF
11
Arm Strength84.8 · RF
4
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · RF
36
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.391
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.311 to 0.381
RegressionNegative · -0.045
Opposing pitcherJ.t. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)