Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Ryan O'Hearn

PIT · Hitter
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs MIASandy Alcantara
Sample2417.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 18.2% Market 13.1% Gap +4.7pp
DraftKings 640 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.1
F 77.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.1% Market 72.9% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 24.0
F 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 24.0% Market -- Gap +5.4pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
56
Exit velocity90.0
70
Hard-hit%44.4%
70
xBA0.347
74
xSLG0.560
64
xwOBA0.336
71
BB%9.4%
59
Bat speed68.9
40
K%21.4%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.7 · RF
9
Arm Strength84.8 · RF
4
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
79
Range Runs-1.2 · RF
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · RF
36
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.391
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.042
Opposing pitcherSandy Alcantara
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-18
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)