Mithrandir Metrics
TB 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Yandy Díaz

TB · Hitter · bats R · age 35
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTB vs LADEric Lauer
Sample3545.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.6
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 21.9% Market 14.8% Gap +6.5pp
FanDuel 550 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 84.2
F 84.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 83.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 84.2% Market 81.3% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel -550 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
74 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity91.0
84
Hard-hit%46.8%
81
xBA0.338
64
xSLG0.545
60
xwOBA0.371
91
BB%9.2%
54
Bat speed72.3
81
K%12.1%
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · DH
39
Sprint Speed25.7 · DH
15
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8%
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8%
26
Correct Decisions68.6%
73
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.325 to 0.398
RegressionNegative · -0.078
Opposing pitcherEric Lauer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)