Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Andrew Benintendi

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs TORShane Bieber
Sample4512.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.1
F 14.4
V 10.8
Model 20.2% Market 13.1% Gap +6.6pp
DraftKings 640 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.9
F 62.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 53.9% Market 73.0% Gap +10.0pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 18.6
F 18.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 18.6% Market -- Gap +7.7pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
80 +43 vs proj
Exit velocity88.3
51
Hard-hit%49.0%
88 +63 vs proj
xBA0.354
80
xSLG0.596
75
xwOBA0.328
71 +22 vs proj
BB%8.1%
44
Bat speed67.8
26
K%24.4%
39 -39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · LF
30 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · DH
22
Sprint Speed26.6 · DH
29
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.7%
89
Correct Decisions67.7%
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.250
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.355
RegressionNegative · -0.020
Opposing pitcherShane Bieber
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)