Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Willy Adames

SF · Hitter · bats R · age 31
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSF vs CHCBen Brown
Sample4090.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 18.6% Market 16.7% Gap +1.3pp
FanDuel 475 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
67
Exit velocity89.3
61
Hard-hit%43.4%
67
xBA0.322
48
xSLG0.581
69
xwOBA0.297
38 -33 vs proj
BB%6.0%
19 -53 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
62
K%28.3%
19
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
84
Arm Strength88.2 · SS
69
Outs Above Avg-11.0 · SS
0
Range Runs-9.2 · SS
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.1 · SS
3
Sprint Speed27.7 · SS
61
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.1%
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8%
42
Correct Decisions66.2%
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.285 to 0.372
RegressionNegative · -0.034
Opposing pitcherBen Brown
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)