Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Cody Bellinger

NYY · Hitter · bats L · age 31
IN · 3 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan
Sample4581.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.1
F 14.4
V 14.8
Model 22.1% Market 16.9% Gap +4.5pp
FanDuel 470 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 71.3
F 71.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 70.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 83.2% Market 84.2% Gap +12.9pp
BetMGM -535 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
43
Exit velocity89.0
60
Hard-hit%36.5%
38
xBA0.336
64
xSLG0.513
52
xwOBA0.352
85 +28 vs proj
BB%12.2%
86 +42 vs proj
Bat speed68.2
30
K%14.8%
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · LF
86
Arm Strength99.6 · LF
93
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs4.8 · LF
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · LF
30
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
3
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
51
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.4%
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0%
53
Correct Decisions67.6%
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.337 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.359 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.289 to 0.362
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherEmmet Sheehan
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)