Mithrandir Metrics
SD 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Jake Cronenworth

SD · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IL10 · 7 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupSD vs STLDustin May
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.2
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 15.4% Market 9.6% Gap +5.4pp
DraftKings 905 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 69.2
F 69.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 69.2% Market 66.9% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel -230 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
23 -18 vs proj
Exit velocity86.8
31
Hard-hit%34.1%
27 -16 vs proj
xBA0.286
19
xSLG0.426
22
xwOBA0.304
45 -17 vs proj
BB%12.9%
87 +24 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
35
K%18.9%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength81.1 · 2B
14
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
42
Range Runs0.4 · 2B
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · 2B
17
Sprint Speed28.8 · 2B
89
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.295 to 0.366
RegressionPositive · 0.007
Opposing pitcherDustin May
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)