Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Edmundo Sosa

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 5 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs NYMSean Manaea
Sample1392.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 57.1
F 63.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 62.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.1% Market 74.0% Gap +10.2pp
FanDuel 135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 18.3
F 17.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 18.3% Market -- Gap +7.3pp
FanDuel 290 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
68 +33 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
47
Hard-hit%41.2%
60 +27 vs proj
xBA0.370
89
xSLG0.599
77
xwOBA0.340
78 +34 vs proj
BB%2.8%
4
Bat speed70.8
69
K%19.8%
67 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
24
Arm Strength84.8 · LF
3
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs1.1 · LF
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts10.0 · LF
69
Sprint Speed28.7 · LF
86
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 46.2%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions56.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.308
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline82
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.244 to 0.345
RegressionPositive · 0.016
Opposing pitcherSean Manaea
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-19
Palantir 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 9780 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 4185 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)