Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Jorge Soler

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 34

IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral

MatchupLAA vs DETTarik Skubal

Sample4075.0career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 12.2

F 13.2

V 14.3

Model 17.3% Market 17.7% Gap -1.1pp

DraftKings 445 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 59.1

F 57.3 EXPERIMENTAL

V 60.7 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 66.7% Market 67.7% Gap +8.6pp

BetMGM -210 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%7.0%

Exit velocity88.3

Hard-hit%41.7%

xBA0.332

xSLG0.588

xwOBA0.304

45 -21 vs proj

BB%9.7%

Bat speed73.1

K%31.5%

10 -15 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF

Arm Runs-0.9 · RF

Small sample

Range Runs-1.4 · RF

Small sample

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed25.7 · DH

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7%

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5%

Correct Decisions67.3%

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.340

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.288 to 0.379

RegressionNegative · -0.036

Opposing pitcherTarik Skubal

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)