Mithrandir Metrics
LAA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Jorge Soler

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IL10 · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAA vs AZRyne Nelson
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 17.4% Market 16.4% Gap +0.3pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
74
Exit velocity88.1
47
Hard-hit%41.6%
58
xBA0.342
70
xSLG0.604
76
xwOBA0.306
48 -16 vs proj
BB%8.7%
50
Bat speed72.8
86
K%31.9%
6 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.9 · RF
27 Regression applied
Range Runs-1.4 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · DH
11
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1%
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9%
64
Correct Decisions67.0%
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.379
RegressionNegative · -0.043
Opposing pitcherRyne Nelson
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)