Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Byron Buxton

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 33
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs TEXMacKenzie Gore
Sample3352.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 18.6% Market 22.0% Gap -3.4pp
BetMGM 355 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 76.9
F 77.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 76.9% Market 74.3% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -340 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%13.3%
100
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%48.3%
86
xBA0.340
67
xSLG0.714
94
xwOBA0.347
78
BB%7.9%
39
Bat speed72.4
84
K%26.2%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
17
Arm Strength95.9 · CF
77
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
93
Range Runs2.8 · CF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · CF
65
Bolts23.0 · CF
88
Sprint Speed29.8 · CF
98
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8%
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2%
82
Correct Decisions66.4%
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.377 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.379
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.365
RegressionNegative · -0.062
Opposing pitcherMacKenzie Gore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)