Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Corey Seager

TEX · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs BOSSonny Gray
Sample4521.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 20.6% Market 22.5% Gap -1.9pp
BetMGM 345 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 48.2
F 47.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 47.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 48.2% Market 46.8% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 24.7
F 24.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 24.7% Market -- Gap +10.3pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.1%
95
Exit velocity91.6
89
Hard-hit%47.3%
83
xBA0.331
58
xSLG0.657
87
xwOBA0.333
70 -22 vs proj
BB%11.5%
78
Bat speed70.3
59
K%27.2%
25 -49 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.4 · SS
45
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
18
Range Runs0.4 · SS
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · SS
5
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.6%
Small sample
Correct Decisions71.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.259 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.315 to 0.416
RegressionPositive · 0.021
Opposing pitcherSonny Gray
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)