Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Trea Turner

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 33
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MILJacob Misiorowski
Sample5432.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.8
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 19.8% Market 14.1% Gap +5.1pp
FanDuel 580 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.3
F 83.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.3% Market 81.2% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 140 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 28.2
F 27.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 28.2% Market -- Gap +1.3pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
30
Exit velocity89.0
56
Hard-hit%39.4%
49
xBA0.312
37
xSLG0.467
34
xwOBA0.286
28 -30 vs proj
BB%6.6%
25
Bat speed70.0
56
K%22.1%
49 -27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.9 · SS
52
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
28
Range Runs-0.2 · SS
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · SS
97
Bolts42.0 · SS
98
SB Success Rate92.3% · SS
88
Sprint Speed30.1 · SS
99
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.7%
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8%
65
Correct Decisions64.3%
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.236 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.331
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.375
RegressionNegative · -0.010
Opposing pitcherJacob Misiorowski
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)