Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Brandon Nimmo

TEX · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs BOSSonny Gray
Sample3978.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.5% Market 15.6% Gap +4.3pp
FanDuel 515 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.1
F 75.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 78.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.1% Market 74.7% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.8
F 21.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.8% Market -- Gap +9.6pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
82
Exit velocity92.3
93
Hard-hit%52.7%
94
xBA0.372
87
xSLG0.661
87
xwOBA0.377
93 +22 vs proj
BB%8.9%
53
Bat speed70.6
65
K%20.9%
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
28
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
45
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
79
Range Runs0.2 · RF
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · RF
22
Bolts2.0 · RF
36
Sprint Speed28.2 · RF
74
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.5%
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3%
48
Correct Decisions68.8%
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.281 to 0.379
RegressionPositive · 0.027
Opposing pitcherSonny Gray
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)