Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Brandon Nimmo

TEX · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs STLMichael McGreevy
Sample3945.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.9% Market 15.6% Gap +3.6pp
FanDuel 515 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.1
F 75.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 78.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.1% Market 74.7% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +3.7pp
FanDuel 6500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.3%
57
Barrel%8.9%
88 +19 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
Exit velocity92.0
90
Hard-hit%51.4%
93
K%21.2%
55
xBA0.380
91
xSLG0.687
90
xwOBA0.384
93 +22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · RF
71
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
47
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Range Runs0.4 · RF
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · RF
25
Bolts1.0 · RF
17
Sprint Speed28.1 · RF
72
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.281 to 0.379
RegressionPositive · 0.023
Opposing pitcherMichael McGreevy
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)