Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Teoscar Hernández

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs NYYRyan Weathers
Sample4270.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.5
F 14.2
V 14.6
Model 21.8% Market 18.1% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 430 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 70.4
F 70.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 69.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 81.9% Market 82.9% Gap +12.5pp
BetMGM -485 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.4%
81
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%45.8%
80
xBA0.356
82
xSLG0.619
81
xwOBA0.326
68
BB%9.6%
62 +39 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
63
K%28.0%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
58
Arm Strength90.6 · LF
27
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Range Runs-1.3 · LF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · LF
50
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
77
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.2%
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7%
55
Correct Decisions67.2%
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.314
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.387
RegressionNegative · -0.037
Opposing pitcherRyan Weathers
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)