Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Teoscar Hernández

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IL10 · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs TBNick Martinez
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 17.7% Market 17.9% Gap -0.8pp
DraftKings 440 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 80.6
F 80.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 79.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 80.6% Market 77.9% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -425 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
84
Exit velocity90.1
73
Hard-hit%46.0%
77
xBA0.373
90
xSLG0.630
82
xwOBA0.339
74
BB%9.4%
58 +34 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%27.2%
24
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · LF
69
Arm Strength90.6 · LF
29
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
44
Range Runs0.5 · LF
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.4 · LF
81
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5%
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2%
49
Correct Decisions67.3%
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.313
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.387
RegressionNegative · -0.067
Opposing pitcherNick Martinez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)