Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Victor Caratini

MIN · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 8 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs TEXNathan Eovaldi
Sample2298.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 1.5
P 50.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 46.7% Market 45.7% Gap +4.3pp
FanDuel 110 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
45
Exit velocity89.2
67
Hard-hit%38.2%
50
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.471
40
xwOBA0.307
54
BB%8.8%
55 +22 vs proj
Bat speed69.2
43
K%21.2%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
84
Catcher Throwing-4.1 · C
1
Framing Runs2.8 · C
78
Outs Above Avg1.0 · C
95
Pop Time2.0 · C
4
Range Runs0.4 · C
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.6%
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.9%
13
Correct Decisions64.9%
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.296
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.352
RegressionPositive · 0.002
Opposing pitcherNathan Eovaldi
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-27
Palantir 21810 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21810 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Valinor 16122 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.002 14d stable
Palantir 1972 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d error falling
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1468 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Palantir 10537 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.041 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1097 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.052 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)