Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Mookie Betts

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs NYYRyan Weathers
Sample6324.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.4
F 14.4
V 14.8
Model 22.1% Market 15.9% Gap +5.6pp
FanDuel 505 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 70.6
F 71.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 70.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 82.3% Market 83.3% Gap +12.7pp
BetMGM -500 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
77 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%38.6%
47
xBA0.313
40
xSLG0.495
44
xwOBA0.331
73
BB%9.3%
59
Bat speed67.2
21
K%10.7%
97
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
83
Arm Strength87.7 · SS
61
Outs Above Avg6.0 · SS
93
Range Runs4.2 · SS
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · SS
28
Sprint Speed26.5 · SS
27
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.375
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.403
RegressionNegative · -0.025
Opposing pitcherRyan Weathers
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)