Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Jorge Polanco

NYM · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 4 Neutral
MatchupNYM vs ATLSpencer Strider
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.1% Market 16.2% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 495 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.1
F 60.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 59.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.1% Market 58.3% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel -155 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
30 -32 vs proj
Exit velocity87.2
36
Hard-hit%31.7%
19 -38 vs proj
xBA0.273
11
xSLG0.398
14
xwOBA0.270
15 -54 vs proj
BB%8.9%
52
Bat speed67.6
25
K%15.2%
86 +31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
59 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.3 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.3 · DH
8
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions60.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.378
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherSpencer Strider
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)