Mithrandir Metrics
HOU 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Christian Walker

HOU · Hitter
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupHOU vs BALTrevor Rogers
Sample3828.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.8
F 14.2
V 16.0
Model 20.9% Market 18.0% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 435 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.5
F 65.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 64.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 64.5% Market 77.5% Gap +11.1pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 23.4
F 22.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.4% Market -- Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel 290 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
77
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%41.6%
62
xBA0.302
28
xSLG0.519
54
xwOBA0.304
46 -25 vs proj
BB%8.0%
43
Bat speed72.0
79
K%22.8%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs1.1 · 1B
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · 1B
40
Sprint Speed25.9 · 1B
16
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7%
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6%
73
Correct Decisions66.6%
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.246 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.052
Opposing pitcherTrevor Rogers
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)