Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Bryce Harper

PHI · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MILJacob Misiorowski
Sample6671.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.9% Market 18.7% Gap +1.5pp
FanDuel 415 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 48.0
F 48.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 47.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 48.0% Market 46.8% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel 450 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 25.7
F 26.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 25.7% Market -- Gap +7.5pp
FanDuel 420 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
89
Exit velocity90.4
78
Hard-hit%46.1%
78
xBA0.374
89
xSLG0.724
94
xwOBA0.414
99 +16 vs proj
BB%14.8%
95 +17 vs proj
Bat speed72.5
85
K%18.6%
72 +27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 1B
2
Range Runs-6.6 · 1B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 1B
31
SB Success Rate60.0% · 1B
10
Sprint Speed27.0 · 1B
41
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.4%
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.1%
91
Correct Decisions66.2%
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.350 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.321 to 0.414
RegressionPositive · 0.013
Opposing pitcherJacob Misiorowski
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)