Mithrandir Metrics
LAA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Mike Trout

LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 35
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAA vs AZRyne Nelson
Sample6221.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 19.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 17.7% Market 18.8% Gap -1.7pp
DraftKings 415 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.5
F 66.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 65.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.5% Market 64.5% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel -205 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.4%
95 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity91.6
88
Hard-hit%52.0%
94 +16 vs proj
xBA0.375
91
xSLG0.812
98
xwOBA0.412
99 +22 vs proj
BB%20.3%
100
Bat speed73.1
90
K%24.8%
35 +22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
66
Arm Strength93.2 · CF
60
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
9
Range Runs-2.0 · CF
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · CF
30
Bolts4.0 · CF
49
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
87
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.2%
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1%
39
Correct Decisions69.8%
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376
8
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.377 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.293 to 0.386
RegressionNegative · -0.004
Opposing pitcherRyne Nelson
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)