Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Marcell Ozuna

PIT · Hitter · bats R · age 36
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupPIT vs ATHJ.t. Ginn
Sample6232.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 20.5% Market 20.5% Gap -0.7pp
DraftKings 370 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 74.3
F 75.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 74.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 74.3% Market 71.8% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel -295 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
41 -38 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
64
Hard-hit%39.9%
51 -34 vs proj
xBA0.333
60
xSLG0.581
69
xwOBA0.305
46 -44 vs proj
BB%8.4%
45 -30 vs proj
Bat speed71.7
76
K%28.2%
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.6 · DH
13
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions67.6%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.311 to 0.415
RegressionPositive · 0.014
Opposing pitcherJ.t. Ginn
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)