Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Salvador Perez

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 36
IN · 4 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs SDGriffin Canning
Sample6829.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.3
F 14.4
V 18.9
Model 20.6% Market 17.2% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 58.1
F 65.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 64.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 58.1% Market 75.0% Gap +10.4pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 22.4
F 23.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 22.4% Market -- Gap +4.6pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
83
Exit velocity89.5
66
Hard-hit%43.7%
70
xBA0.291
22
xSLG0.497
45
xwOBA0.286
28 -45 vs proj
BB%3.4%
6
Bat speed70.4
61
K%20.1%
64 +18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.6 · C
23
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
61
Framing Runs-5.5 · C
4
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · C
6
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Range Runs-3.4 · C
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.9 · DH
1
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.9%
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1%
83
Correct Decisions62.9%
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.308 to 0.372
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherGriffin Canning
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)