Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY · Hitter · bats R · age 37
Projected · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.7
F 14.4
V 14.3
Model 18.1% Market 22.2% Gap -4.2pp
BetMGM 350 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.8
F 63.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 61.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 70.2% Market 71.0% Gap +9.2pp
BetMGM -245 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%15.3%
100
Exit velocity95.4
100
Hard-hit%47.9%
86
xBA0.361
85
xSLG0.688
92
xwOBA0.326
67
BB%5.4%
16 -34 vs proj
Bat speed77.4
100
K%29.7%
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.8 · DH
1
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.1%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.352 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.308
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.386
RegressionNegative · -0.048
Opposing pitcherEmmet Sheehan
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)