Home Run
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Home Run · tracking
No production board publishes this player-market cell today.
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18
Travis D'Arnaud
LAA · Hitter · bats R · age 37
IN · 8
Pitcher-Friendly
PROPS 1 available
PERCENTILES 15 rows
LINEUPS confirmed artifact
NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Total Bases
0.5
P
52.2
F
52.2
EXPERIMENTAL
V
51.4
EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 58.0%
Market 59.2%
Gap
+6.9pp
BetMGM
-145
tracking
Open board
Hits
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Hits · tracking
No production board publishes this player-market cell today.
RBI
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RBI · no production board
No production board publishes this player-market cell today.
Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick
Percentile strip
100th = best in MLBDefense · percentile strip
Pop Time1.9 · C
59
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-2.2 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · C
5
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
Small sample
Context
projection · regression · matchupProjected range0.242 to 0.349
RegressionNo current flag
Opposing pitcherTarik Skubal
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health
2026-07-19
Palantir
9780 props
Brier 0.124
ECE 0.011
14d error falling
Fangorn
9780 props
Brier 0.124
ECE 0.012
14d stable
Valinor
4185 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.007
14d error falling
Palantir
453 props
Brier 0.245
ECE 0.004
sample building
Fangorn
18 props
Brier 0.243
ECE 0.080
sample building
Valinor
32 props
Brier 0.236
ECE 0.220
sample building
Palantir
3223 props
Brier 0.240
ECE 0.103
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
137 props
Brier 0.153
ECE 0.025
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
328 props
Brier 0.265
ECE 0.083
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)