Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-18

Carlos Santana

AZ · Hitter

IN · 5 Neutral

MatchupAZ vs STLDustin May

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 13 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 12.5

F 13.2

V 11.6

Model 18.1% Market 13.5% Gap +4.0pp

FanDuel 610 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 63.8

F 65.6 EXPERIMENTAL

V 64.2 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 73.0% Market 74.0% Gap +10.2pp

BetMGM -285 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Defense · percentile strip

Outs Above Avg-1.4 · 1B

22 Regression applied

Range Runs-1.9 · 1B

Small sample

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed23.7 · 1B

Small sample

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1%

Small sample

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2%

Small sample

Correct Decisions67.0%

Small sample

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · small sample

small sample

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293

Small sample

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · thin sample

thin sample

Resists FastballwOBA 0.313

Small sample

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353

Small sample

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102

Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range--

RegressionNo current flag

Opposing pitcherDustin May

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)