Mithrandir Metrics
Stories 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player Story · 2025 to 2026

What changed for James McCann.

From 2025 to 2026, James McCann's Barrel% moved from 5.1% to 11.1%. Here's everything else the data sees that changed.

2025 PA
137
2026 PA
81
Age
36
James McCann Window 2025 → 2026 Source Seasonal Statcast

Something has changed for James McCann, now 36, between 2025 and 2026. We went through what the data can actually measure, including contact, plate approach, swing shape, and the results they produce, to separate the signal from the noise. The clearest gain: Barrel% moved from 5.1% to 11.1%, which now sits in the 98th percentile leaguewide. It hasn't been all one direction. BB% has slipped from 5.8% to 1.2%, but the trade has largely worked so far.

Section 1 / 4

The Results

On the bottom-line production (what it all adds up to), it's a genuine mix. McCann has gained ground on wOBA (0.337→0.360), while slipping on xSLG (0.557→0.422), xwOBA (0.313→0.218), and OPS (0.740→0.685). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
xwOBA 0.313 0.218 ▼ -0.094 0th
wOBA 0.337 0.360 ▲ +0.023 58th
xSLG 0.557 0.422 ▼ -0.135 12th
OPS 0.740 0.685 ▼ -0.055 24th

The biggest move is xSLG, down from 0.557 to 0.422 (-0.135).

Section 2 / 4

Contact Quality

On the quality of contact (how hard and how flush he's hitting the ball), it's a genuine mix. McCann has gained ground on Barrel% (5.1%→11.1%), while slipping on Exit Velo (91.8 mph→88.7 mph), Hard-Hit% (52.2%→48.3%), and Sweet-Spot% (32.6%→31.7%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Exit Velo 91.8 mph 88.7 mph ▼ -3.1 42th
Barrel% 5.1% 11.1% ▲ +6.0 pts 98th
Hard-Hit% 52.2% 48.3% ▼ -3.8 pts 83th
Sweet-Spot% 32.6% 31.7% ▼ -0.9 pts 14th

The biggest move is Exit Velo, down from 91.8 mph to 88.7 mph (-3.1).

Section 3 / 4

Plate Approach

On his approach at the plate (what he swings at and how often he misses), it's a genuine mix. McCann has gained ground on Whiff% (28.6%→27.9%), while slipping on Chase% (32.6%→46.6%), BB% (5.8%→1.2%), and K% (24.1%→24.7%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Chase% 32.6% 46.6% ▼ +14.1 pts 0th
Whiff% 28.6% 27.9% ▲ -0.7 pts 20th
K% 24.1% 24.7% ▼ +0.6 pts 28th
BB% 5.8% 1.2% ▼ -4.6 pts 0th

The biggest move is Chase%, up from 32.6% to 46.6% (+14.1 pts).

Section 4 / 4

Swing & Batted-Ball Shape

On his swing and batted-ball shape (the mechanical fingerprint behind the changes above), it's a genuine mix. McCann has gained ground on Bat Speed (69.2 mph→70.5 mph), Launch Angle (7.7°→8.4°), and Oppo% (32.6%→36.7%), while slipping on Pull% (37.0%→31.7%), Ground-Ball% (48.9%→53.3%), and Swing Length (6.9 ft→6.9 ft). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Launch Angle 7.7° 8.4° ▲ +0.7 12th
Pull% 37.0% 31.7% ▼ -5.3 pts 1th
Oppo% 32.6% 36.7% ▲ +4.1 pts 96th
Ground-Ball% 48.9% 53.3% ▼ +4.4 pts 4th
Bat Speed (2024+) 69.2 mph 70.5 mph ▲ +1.3 59th
Swing Length (2024+) 6.9 ft 6.9 ft ▼ +0.0 77th

The biggest move is Bat Speed, up from 69.2 mph to 70.5 mph (+1.3).

Verdict

The takeaway

Bottom line: between 2025 and 2026, the broad picture is a step back, and it's showing in the results. More of McCann's markers are sliding than improving. It's worth re-checking as the sample grows, but the direction is already readable in the numbers.

Method

How to read this

  • Sample sizes are modest (2025 137 PA, 2026 81 PA), so read the magnitude of these changes with some caution.
  • This compares what the data can measure (contact, approach, swing and batted-ball shape). Stance, hand position, and leg-kick changes are not in the public data and are not claimed here.

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