Mithrandir Metrics
Stories 2026 Refreshed Jun 3 06:00 AM ET
Player Story · 2025 to 2026

What changed for Carlos Cortes.

From 2025 to 2026, Carlos Cortes's BB% moved from 3.0% to 11.2%. Here's everything else the data sees that changed.

2025 PA
101
2026 PA
170
Age
29
Carlos Cortes Window 2025 → 2026 Source Seasonal Statcast

Something has changed for Carlos Cortes, now 29, between 2025 and 2026. We went through what the data can actually measure, including contact, plate approach, swing shape, and the results they produce, to separate the signal from the noise. The clearest gain: BB% moved from 3.0% to 11.2%, which now sits in the 60th percentile leaguewide. It hasn't been all one direction. Launch Angle has slipped from 16.3° to 8.9°, but the trade has largely worked so far.

Section 1 / 4

The Results

On the bottom-line production (what it all adds up to), it's a genuine mix. Cortes has gained ground on xwOBA (0.314→0.392), wOBA (0.365→0.411), and OPS (0.848→0.866), while slipping on xSLG (0.563→0.552). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
xwOBA 0.314 0.392 ▲ +0.078 88th
wOBA 0.365 0.411 ▲ +0.047 80th
xSLG 0.563 0.552 ▼ -0.011 36th
OPS 0.848 0.866 ▲ +0.018 80th

The biggest move is xwOBA, up from 0.314 to 0.392 (+0.078).

Section 2 / 4

Contact Quality

On the quality of contact (how hard and how flush he's hitting the ball), it's a genuine mix. Cortes has gained ground on Exit Velo (89.8 mph→90.2 mph), while slipping on Sweet-Spot% (40.8%→38.6%), Hard-Hit% (44.7%→43.3%), and Barrel% (6.9%→6.5%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Exit Velo 89.8 mph 90.2 mph ▲ +0.4 51th
Barrel% 6.9% 6.5% ▼ -0.5 pts 45th
Hard-Hit% 44.7% 43.3% ▼ -1.4 pts 40th
Sweet-Spot% 40.8% 38.6% ▼ -2.2 pts 72th

The biggest move is Exit Velo, up from 89.8 mph to 90.2 mph (+0.4).

Section 3 / 4

Plate Approach

On his approach at the plate (what he swings at and how often he misses), the arrows point the right way. Cortes has improved on K% (20.8%→11.2%), BB% (3.0%→11.2%), and Chase% (31.5%→24.4%), with nothing here moving meaningfully against him.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Chase% 31.5% 24.4% ▲ -7.1 pts 73th
Whiff% 19.4% 18.9% ▲ -0.5 pts 69th
K% 20.8% 11.2% ▲ -9.6 pts 94th
BB% 3.0% 11.2% ▲ +8.2 pts 60th

The biggest move is K%, down from 20.8% to 11.2% (-9.6 pts). It's been a clean step forward here.

Section 4 / 4

Swing & Batted-Ball Shape

On his swing and batted-ball shape (the mechanical fingerprint behind the changes above), it's a genuine mix. Cortes has gained ground on Bat Speed (68.4 mph→68.9 mph), Oppo% (22.4%→31.5%), and Swing Length (7.0 ft→6.9 ft), while slipping on Launch Angle (16.3°→8.9°), Ground-Ball% (39.5%→47.2%), and Pull% (40.8%→37.8%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Launch Angle 16.3° 8.9° ▼ -7.5 14th
Pull% 40.8% 37.8% ▼ -3.0 pts 20th
Oppo% 22.4% 31.5% ▲ +9.1 pts 78th
Ground-Ball% 39.5% 47.2% ▼ +7.8 pts 15th
Bat Speed (2024+) 68.4 mph 68.9 mph ▲ +0.5 28th
Swing Length (2024+) 7.0 ft 6.9 ft ▲ -0.0 78th

The biggest move is Launch Angle, down from 16.3° to 8.9° (-7.5).

Verdict

The takeaway

Bottom line: between 2025 and 2026, the broad picture is a step forward, and the results are following the process. More of Cortes's underlying markers are pointing up than down. It's worth re-checking as the sample grows, but the direction is already readable in the numbers.

Method

How to read this

  • Sample sizes are modest (2025 101 PA, 2026 170 PA), so read the magnitude of these changes with some caution.
  • This compares what the data can measure (contact, approach, swing and batted-ball shape). Stance, hand position, and leg-kick changes are not in the public data and are not claimed here.

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