Mithrandir Metrics
Stories 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player Story · 2025 to 2026

What changed for Blaze Alexander.

From 2025 to 2026, Blaze Alexander's Oppo% moved from 25.2% to 36.0%. Here's everything else the data sees that changed.

2025 PA
266
2026 PA
258
Age
27
Blaze Alexander Window 2025 → 2026 Source Seasonal Statcast

Something has changed for Blaze Alexander, now 27, between 2025 and 2026. We went through what the data can actually measure, including contact, plate approach, swing shape, and the results they produce, to separate the signal from the noise. The clearest gain: Oppo% moved from 25.2% to 36.0%, which now sits in the 93th percentile leaguewide. It hasn't been all one direction. Barrel% has slipped from 7.1% to 4.7%, but the trade has largely worked so far.

Section 1 / 4

The Results

On the bottom-line production (what it all adds up to), the arrows point the right way. Alexander has improved on OPS (0.685→0.788), wOBA (0.327→0.383), and xwOBA (0.305→0.360), with nothing here moving meaningfully against him.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
xwOBA 0.305 0.360 ▲ +0.055 81th
wOBA 0.327 0.383 ▲ +0.055 76th
xSLG 0.600 0.617 ▲ +0.017 72th
OPS 0.685 0.788 ▲ +0.103 66th

The biggest move is OPS, up from 0.685 to 0.788 (+0.103). It's been a clean step forward here.

Section 2 / 4

Contact Quality

On the quality of contact (how hard and how flush he's hitting the ball), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on Exit Velo (88.9 mph→90.4 mph), Sweet-Spot% (35.8%→43.4%), and Hard-Hit% (43.5%→48.6%), while slipping on Barrel% (7.1%→4.7%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Exit Velo 88.9 mph 90.4 mph ▲ +1.4 70th
Barrel% 7.1% 4.7% ▼ -2.5 pts 33th
Hard-Hit% 43.5% 48.6% ▲ +5.0 pts 83th
Sweet-Spot% 35.8% 43.4% ▲ +7.6 pts 95th

The biggest move is Exit Velo, up from 88.9 mph to 90.4 mph (+1.4).

Section 3 / 4

Plate Approach

On his approach at the plate (what he swings at and how often he misses), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on K% (32.3%→22.1%) and Whiff% (28.3%→23.9%), while slipping on Chase% (25.1%→30.4%) and BB% (8.3%→6.2%). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Chase% 25.1% 30.4% ▼ +5.3 pts 45th
Whiff% 28.3% 23.9% ▲ -4.4 pts 41th
K% 32.3% 22.1% ▲ -10.2 pts 45th
BB% 8.3% 6.2% ▼ -2.1 pts 16th

The biggest move is K%, down from 32.3% to 22.1% (-10.2 pts).

Section 4 / 4

Swing & Batted-Ball Shape

On his swing and batted-ball shape (the mechanical fingerprint behind the changes above), it's a genuine mix. Alexander has gained ground on Launch Angle (6.6°→8.9°), Bat Speed (69.0 mph→70.0 mph), and Oppo% (25.2%→36.0%), while slipping on Pull% (44.2%→35.4%) and Swing Length (7.2 ft→7.2 ft). The net picture is a real shift in profile, not a simple up-or-down.

Metric 2025 2026 Change League now
Launch Angle 6.6° 8.9° ▲ +2.3 13th
Pull% 44.2% 35.4% ▼ -8.8 pts 7th
Oppo% 25.2% 36.0% ▲ +10.8 pts 93th
Ground-Ball% 51.0% 49.1% ▲ -1.9 pts 13th
Bat Speed (2024+) 69.0 mph 70.0 mph ▲ +1.1 51th
Swing Length (2024+) 7.2 ft 7.2 ft ▼ +0.1 50th

The biggest move is Launch Angle, up from 6.6° to 8.9° (+2.3).

Verdict

The takeaway

Bottom line: between 2025 and 2026, the broad picture is a step forward, and the results are following the process. More of Alexander's underlying markers are pointing up than down. It's worth re-checking as the sample grows, but the direction is already readable in the numbers.

Method

How to read this

  • This compares what the data can measure (contact, approach, swing and batted-ball shape). Stance, hand position, and leg-kick changes are not in the public data and are not claimed here.

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