Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2026-08-07 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Kaelen Culpepper
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 23
Club Minnesota Twins
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 120 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 1 | .275 | .333 | .404 | .737 |
| 1 Seasons | 120 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 1 | .275 | .333 | .404 | .737 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
17
Exit velocity87.2
42
Hard-hit%31.0%
20
xBA0.318
52
xSLG0.475
42
xwOBA0.298
46
BB%5.0%
14
Bat speed72.2
82
K%20.8%
62
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength93.1 · SS
88
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs0.3 · SS
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · SS
61
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.1% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.5% · rebadged research
8
Correct Decisions57.7% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline84
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
74 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Culpepper’s wOBA sits at 0.328, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.298 — a gap of 0.030, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 120 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 18 | 2026-09-08 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.636 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K |